Alaves vs real Sociedad prediction & Match Preview : The Basque derby between Deportivo Alavés and Real Sociedad is set for April 23, 2025, at Estadio de Mendizorroza. With Alavés striving to escape the relegation zone and Real Sociedad aiming to solidify their mid-table position, this encounter promises high stakes and intense competition.
Fixture: Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad
Competition: La Liga 2024/25 – Matchday 33
Kick-off: Wednesday, April 23, 2025, 20:30 CET
Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Deportivo Alavés
League Position: 18th (31 points)
Recent Results:
Drew 1-1 vs Sevilla (A)
Lost 0-1 vs Real Madrid (H)
Won 1-0 vs Girona (A)
Home Performance: Struggling, with a 67% loss rate in their last 6 home matches
Real Sociedad
League Position: 9th (42 points)
Recent Results:
Won 1-0 vs Espanyol (A)
Lost 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano (H)
Drew 1-1 vs Union Berlin (A)
Away Performance: Unbeaten in their last 3 away league games
Deportivo Alavés
Injuries:
Abdel Abqar (Hamstring) – Out until mid-May
Real Sociedad
Injuries:
Igor Zubeldia (Groin)
Álvaro Odriozola (Muscle)
Nayef Aguerd (Achilles)
Arsen Zakharyan (Thigh)
Ander Barrenetxea (Ankle)
Óskarsson (Groin)
Total Meetings: 54
Real Sociedad Wins: 28
Alavés Wins: 16
Draws: 10
Last Encounter: Alavés 2-1 Real Sociedad (August 28, 2024)
Possession:
Alavés: 45.97% average
Real Sociedad: 54.34% average
Corners per Match:
Alavés: 4.63
Real Sociedad: 5.41
Discipline:
Alavés: 89 yellow cards, 5 red cards
Real Sociedad: 74 yellow cards, 4 red cards
Match Outcome: Real Sociedad Win
Probability: 58.4%
Correct Score Prediction: Real Sociedad 1-0 Alavés
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals (57.27% probability)
Both Teams to Score: No (61% probability)
Asian Handicap: Real Sociedad +0.25
While Alavés will be buoyed by their previous victory over Real Sociedad, their inconsistent home form poses a challenge. Real Sociedad, despite injury concerns, have demonstrated resilience on the road. Given the statistical edge and recent performances, Real Sociedad are favored to secure a narrow victory in this Basque derby.
